In 2030 … Meat the future

BY JOANNA PATSALIS
I bought organic, lab-made burgers from my neighborhood's grocery store. It was cheaper, had less fat and more nutrients than any other alternative. It even tasted better!

If you think about the agriculture industry, we’ve come a long way… Here’s a quick summary:

Up until the end of the 18th century, the vast majority of people were farmers. The 18th and 19th centuries accelerated an ongoing revolution in agriculture – use of animal and human labor as a source of power. Physics, chemistry, and biology became tools to that revolutionized agricultural systems. Later, the adoption of new power sources, such as steam, increased the use of chemicals. Today, improved plant and livestock breeding through genetic engineering promise to improved shelf life and are resistant to disease, stress resistance, herbicide, pests and insects.

The revolution won’t change how food is delivered but rather how the food is produced, prepared and processed for one simple reason. People care about what we eat. There are several trends confirming this.

Healthier eating habits: Brands are investing more in healthier food. Health and wellness is now used as a positioning for corporations. Hershey and General Mills are among the companies planning to continue expanding their portfolios to younger consumers (millennials and Gen Z) who want healthier options.

Meat: Bloomberg last summer reported that plant-based meat alternatives totaled $670 million in sales — a 24% jump from last year.

Sustainability: shoppers have been willing to pay more to feel like they are helping the environment. As sustainable business practices become the norm not the exception across the food industry, sustainability is used to as competitive advantage and increase profits. Mars, PepsiCo, Coca-Cola, Unilever and Walmart have all announced sustainability plans.

Earth’s resources are scarce and population is increasing, which could put the human species in danger. Luckily, scientists have found another (out-of the box) solution to keep feeding us. A new production method for live-stock: the Lab! You no longer need the land for the animals to live, nor the machines to process their meat.. You don’t even need the animal.

Production of cell-cultured meat involves retrieving a live animal’s muscle stem cells from the tissue and setting them in a nutrient-rich liquid, multiply them dramatically and allow them to differentiate into primitive fibers that then bulk up to form muscle tissue.

“One tissue sample from a cow can yield enough muscle tissue to make 80,000 quarter-pounders.”

Mosa Meat

The lab-grown meat has caught attention in 2013 but was too expensive to commercialize. As the technology improves and the competition increases we are now at a point where FDA is beginning to think how to regulate. Key players include Mosa Meat, Memphis Meats, SuperMeat and Finless Foods who have already raised millions in funding. In 2017, for instance, Memphis Meats took in $17 million.

  • doesn’t involve livestock – and thus avoid slaughter and save endangered animals
  • could potentially be healthier – contain more protein and polyunsaturated fatty acids than traditional meat, eliminate saturated fat, potentially reducing the risk of chronic diseases. Minimizing animal-borne diseases. No need for growth hormones/pesticides/fungicides/aflatoxins/melamine,  used in the traditional meat industry
  • consume fewer natural resources- no environmental impacts and ethical issues
  • could be cheaper and more accessible – could increase access to meat in developing countries
  • sustainability – Researchers comparing the production of cultured and conventional meat found that producing 1,000 kilograms of cultured meat involves approximately 7%-45% lower energy use, 78%-96% lower greenhouse gas emissions, 99% lower land use and 82%- 96% lower water use

But will it sell?

The livestock sector is the fastest growing sub-sector of agriculture and employs 1.3 billion people. Many farmers have been vocal about their concerns on potential unemployment and push for strong regulations. Moreover, vegans and certain religious groups, feel any exploitation of animals is still unacceptable. On the other hand, Environmental groups, animal welfare advocates and some health-conscious consumers will most likely be the biggest fans.

Based on Food Literacy and Engagement Poll recent survey the results vary. 48% of people said they’d be unlikely to buy this product. People with higher income are more likely to switch from being undecided about cultured meat to being willing to try. As far as age, younger people are 5 times more likely to purchase cultured meat products. Attitudes related to this innovation will depend on how it gets labeled and how the person is influenced by values and experiences.

Currently we consume food without being 100% sure how livestock was treated and processed. We trust labels claiming ‘organic’ but the term is so vague. I see no reason not trusting science. Lab-cultivated food will at least give you peace of mind in terms of how it was produced and its neutrinos. If it tastes good, I would definitely try it! Would you?

In 2023 … Retail Shopping

by Joanna Patsalis
I went shopping with just my phone. When personalized, fast and seamless experience becomes a norm, not the exception.

Ever since Amazon bought Whole Foods to experiment with a seamless shopping experience, I can’t stop thinking of the possibilities of customer interaction with the store, the products, the check out and delivery. Amazon Go is now available in Chicago, Illinois, San Fransisco having a slow expansion compared to Hema, Alibaba’s new superstore.

AmazonGo commercial 

Amazon reported to open as many as 3,000 stores by 2021 but is now considering narrowing its focus even further to freshly prepared foods that would appeal to lunch-time crowds. While a more focused strategy of cashier-free stores might be wise, Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba is reimagining the whole retail experience with 80 outlets in China by the end of this year.

By the time Amazon started testing AI-enabled stores, Alibaba had already been experimenting with the technology 2 years ago. This gives some validation to the hypothesis that Western world is following the steps of Asia technologies, and not vise versa like a few years ago. I will go deeper into this matter in a different post.

What innovations, other than no check-out can someone expect when visiting Hema?

  • Interactive, digital screens with product information.
  • Instead of paper tags, pricing is displayed on the digital screens
  • Self check-out kiosks use facial recognition to pull up a payment app leveraging Alipay technology.
  • You turn your head up and conveyor belts with bags select items for a 30 minute delivery.
  • Fresh produce can be prepared and delivered by robots in the in-store restaurant – no human interaction here either.
  • Personalization and recommendations through the app

Hema Supermarket tour

What should we expect next? Are stores going to become just showrooms and we are just going to walk around with our phones adding to our digital cart? Is Hema considering to expand to the rest of the world? Is human labor going to be excluded from the shopping experience once and for all? And finally, are stores going to disappear in the future? Why do we still spent the time to go shopping if we can find everything online and delivered in a few minutes?